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Hope Again?

Hope Again?

Silhouette of Parliament in westminster

Though that slogan at Labour’s Liverpool get-together last week comes with a mass of caveats, there has been a gear change at Westminster. For the first time since the government’s big win at the last election it’s now looking ready to make use of its majority. As our Political Correspondent Peter Spencer reports, it’s clearly clocked the ancient Greek saying: ‘United we stand, divided we fall.’

That’s not to say that the other parties, hellbent on ripping the Prime Minister’s performance and promises to shreds, don’t have plenty of ammunition.

For a start, Andy Burnham’s big ideas, about rethinking Brexit, creating an NHS-style care system and rejigging the voting system, won’t change anything right now.

Essentially, they’re his pitch for the next general election, up to three years away.

It’s also true that they’re all fraught with risk.

Yes, polls do consistently show most voters now agree with nearly all economists, that leaving the EU has cost us hideous amounts of money.

Yes also, top European bods immediately gave the idea of us coming back a huge thumbs up.

But on what terms? How much would it cost? And how’s maybe having to ditch the pound in favour of the Euro likely to play with the punters?

No surprise that Reform leader Nigel Farage is crowing about what a gift the very idea is to his electoral prospects.

He could be wrong, mind. Signs are his supporters are more interested these days in immigration than his remainer fervour.

And even on that front the word’s gradually trickling out that small boat arrivals are nothing like what they were.

Besides which, the government’s tougher approach to legal immigration has cut numbers so low that it’ll cost the Chancellor billions, in what would otherwise have been taxes paid by the incomers.

Unfortunate, just as he’s grappling with this month’s budget.

Moving on to Burnham’s idea of probably shaving a bit off oldies’ pensions to help pay for free help for folk who can’t manage on their own, here too the dangers are obvious.

Given that elderly folk are much better at popping out to vote than youngsters, it’s no surprise that parties have been terrified of touching the so-called triple lock.

It does after all guarantee an up each year based on inflation, average wage rises or two-and-a-half per cent, whichever’s the highest. Nice.

However, the idea of getting a little less each month might strike many as a price worth paying for the promise of getting looked after for free if they’re stuck for support.

Check out the cost of privately run care homes. Then wedge your eyeballs back in their sockets. Take the point?

Then there’s the notion of changing the way votes are totted up in general elections.

The existing winner-takes-all system is at least straightforward. Whoever gets the most votes in each constituency gets to be the MP. Sorted.

It’s served Labour and the Tories ever so well, effectively squeezing out runners-up whose voters are bunched up in specific areas rather than spread evenly.

Arguably unfair then, and inappropriate now Reform have joined the Greens and the Lib Dems in getting hardly any MPs in return for masses of supporters.

However, when a change was mooted fifteen years ago, the turnout was low and the answer was no.

Of course Burnham could skip another referendum and just plonk the idea into Labour’s election manifesto.

This thought’s sparked fevered calculations about winners and losers under a different system. Partly depends on which system, there are several options.

All a bit mind-numbing, but there are a couple of standout points.

One, most experts agree that under any changed arrangement Labour would probably be the largest party, but without an overall majority. Cue a coalition of some kind.

Alternatively, if Reform’s support were to nudge up past a certain point right across the nation then the enormous boost he’d get would dissolve.

Instead, he’d be far better off under the present arrangements. As he’d be able to push everyone else aside in much the same way as Labour did last time round.

And for all the mumblings from all sides about principles and fairness and whatever, in the end it’s a matter of realpolitik. An almighty gamble for for the lot of them.

Not that they need to worry their pretty heads too much about any of this for the moment.

Least of all the Green party leader Zak Polanski, who this week is hoping to snatch the central London seat vacated by Keir Starmer.

Apparently his team was minded to redeploy the troops away from the party conference to chivvy up support on the ground in the byelection. Which suggests they’re worried about losing.

The Tories aren’t fussed about that race, as their current focus is on their own big bash in Brum.

Leader Kemi Badenoch can’t seriously hope to match Burnham’s performance last week, but she is at least aiming to make inroads.

No question, after a fairly shaky start in the job she has gone some way to finding her feet. Witness her greatly improved performances at Prime Minister’s Question Time.

Nonetheless, much hinges on her big closing speech on Wednesday. The Tories have been better behaved of late than Labour was under Starmer, but she’s still got a bit of winning round to do.

Of course she’d never admit it, but she well knows there’s no beating Andy Burnham’s equivalent to Henry the fifth’s pre-Agincourt ‘we few we happy few’ pep talk.

Rather more recently, Yankee Prez Dwight D. Eisenhower reckoned: ‘Morale is the greatest single factor in successful war.’ He should know, having led the free world to victory in World War Two.

Shame the current incumbent isn’t such a good chum. Starting a war instead of ending one, gifting us a serious spike in energy prices and complicating supplies of diesel fuel.

Still, it’s not like there’s never any good news coming from across The Pond.

This story starts with a determined tapping at the back door of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration laboratory in Panama City, Florida.

Annsli Hilton, a researcher who works at the site, naturally assumed when she caught sight of an injured pelican that someone had brought it there.

But no. It had come on its tod. Clearly in the hope of getting help. Much needed, given that there was a fishing line wrapped round its right wing and a double-barbed treble hook stuck in it.

This meant flying wasn’t an option. So it seems the poor creature had actually waddled the entire quarter of a mile from the beach where these guys usually hang out.

‘I always … liked to think that animals would know to either come to me for help or to come to the lab for help,’ Annsli said. ‘But I never thought it would happen.’

Lucky it did, as otherwise the bird would probably have starved or got eaten. Instead, it remained calm while the humans eased, snipped, extricated and untangled the problem.

And then, having first flapped the wing around to make good and sure it worked ok, it flew away. Everybody happy then.

Watch Peter’s report at peterspencer.org


Peter Spencer has 40 years experience as a Political Correspondent in Westminster, working with London Broadcasting and Sky News. For more of his fascinating musings on the turbulent political landscape, follow him on Facebook & Twitter.

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